Had a request for some data about top categories for Holiday 2007 this morning....so, I'll play "sharesies" and post the nuggets here:
HOLIDAY 2007 PREDICTIONS:
Forrester Research: 2007 Online Holiday Retail Sales To Hit $33 Billion
Monday October 15, 5:20 pm ET
Among the findings of this year's survey:
- Apparel and accessories will top holiday shopping lists -- 80 percent of respondents said that they would purchase something in this category online during the upcoming holiday season.
- A majority of consumers have a continued interest in free shipping promotions -- 61 percent of online consumers said that they are more likely to shop online with a retailer that offers free shipping.
- Fewer consumers are willing to pay for "frills" like gift wrap or overnight delivery this year -- only 26 percent of consumers said they would pay for expedited delivery prior to the holiday season, down from 45 percent who said they would do so in 2006.
- Gift cards promise to be a big winner during the 2007 holiday season -- 18 percent of online consumers said that they plan to spend more on gift cards this year, compared with last year.
"Retailers should have an action plan in place for how best to take advantage of gift cards following Christmas and through January, which is known to be the most active redemption period," said Forrester Research Principal Analyst Sucharita Mulpuru. "Online retailers that are ready to capture those customers will likely be able to maintain relatively strong sales, in spite of the traditional Q1 seasonal dip."
Forrester defines the holiday shopping season as the period between Thanksgiving and Christmas.
Other popular categories include consumer electronics or computer-related accessories (36.4%), jewelry (23.8%) and home décor or home-related furnishings (22.0%).
“Consumer electronics will be the shining star of holiday retail sales, accounting for 22 percent of all gifts given,” says CEA Economist Shawn DuBravac. “Two of the top five items on adults’ holiday wish lists are consumer electronics, and four of the top five items on the teen list are CE devices, so today’s hottest technologies will be on every holiday shopper’s mind. Holiday sales will be particularly jolly for the video game category (hardware and software), laptop computers and the endless array of accessories available for your favorite product.”
The top five wish list items for all adult survey respondents: computers, peace and happiness, big screen TV, clothes and money. Notably, the big screen TV moved up in the 2007 survey to number three from 11th in 2006. The teen list remained unchanged: clothes, MP3 player, video games, computer and cell phone.
“While overall holiday spending will increase, we found consumers are cutting back on decorations, home purchases and travel, but not gifts, especially electronics. The average CE gift giver will spend $358 on those gifts this season,” adds DuBravac.
CEA forecasts $22.1 billion will be spent on holiday CE gifts this year, which represents 46 percent of total fourth quarter revenue for consumer electronics. Total fourth quarter sales will reach $48.1 billion – a seven-percent increase from $44.8 billion in 2006.
The survey also tracked specific consumer electronics consumers hope to receive. The top five CE gifts adults wish for are MP3 players, notebook/laptops, video game systems, digital cameras and any type of TV. For teens, MP3 players, digital cameras, notebook/laptops, computers and any type of TV round out the top five items on their wish list.
Leading the “planned gift” list this year – a list of the CE products respondents intend to purchase for someone else -- are video game systems, additional memory for cameras, MP3 players, DVD players and digital cameras.
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